A system to our north looks to bring a small snowfall to our backcountry patrol zone on Tuesday. Here are the model forecasts:
3” – European and WRF Models
2” – American Model
0” – Canadian Model
Then, there’ll be a weak low pressure over Colorado on Friday, bringing potentially a touch of upslope snow. Here are the model forecasts:
8” – Canadian Model
5” – European Model
4” – American Model
Highs in the low 30s on Saturday with decreasing clouds, and sunny on Sunday with highs in the upper 30s.
Retrospective Discussion:
Sadly, over the weekend we only got a dusting, with the European Model getting it right, the Canadian and Peak Models a little too high, and WRF and American Model being too high.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 3/2/26 Afternoon)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
