A system from the southwest pushes up towards the four-corners this week, but it just doesn’t look to have enough power to make it even close to our patrol zone. Then, maybe the large low pressure that looks to be great for Tahoe will just barely spillover into our patrol zone over the weekend. Here are the model snowfall solutions for Friday to Saturday:
3” – Canadian Model
1” – European and American Models
At least temperatures will be a bit colder this weekend, with highs at or just below freezing both weekend days. Sunday looks to have more sun. I’d say it looks to be windy, but that’s a given.
Gazing into forecast fairyland, the next chance for meaningful snow looks to arrive around perhaps January 2. Sheesh.
Retrospective Discussion:
The predicted Saturday snow was a bust, with only a dusting, so the American Model wasn’t too far off, while the Canadian and WRF Models sadly were way too optimistic calling for 3”.
Happy holidays. Think snow. This snow drought can’t last forever, and I’m asking Santa for snow.
-Jordan (Monday 12/22/25 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
