This week looks to be warm and sunny through Thursday.
Then, we have a classic springtime cut-off low that may impact the front range including our patrol zone. These are sometimes huge snow producers with their upslope winds, and these are sometimes huge disappointments. So, take the various model solutions, especially this far out, with a giant gain of salt. In other words, two feet or two inches could still very much be possibilities. With that caveat, here are the current model solutions for our patrol zone:
15” – UK Met Model
12” – American and European Models
9” – Icon Model
6” – Canadian Model
Best guess is that most fall snow will fall on Friday leading to the best turns on Saturday morning, but good chance Sunday morning will be great too. And probably lower elevations and further north in our patrol zone will get more snow. But this is all just guesswork at this point. Fingers crossed for snow.
Retrospective Discussion:
While the Wednesday model runs weren’t predicting any snow for Sunday night, by the Friday model runs they were, and Eldora picked up 3” on Sunday night. The American Model was a hair too low, the Canadian Model was a bit too high, the WRF Model really dropped the ball predicting nothing.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 4/14/25 Morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
