With the patrol season wrapping up, ironically, it’s finally snowing. It just snowed, and more is forecasted! A large system to our north will result in some snow on Friday. Here are the model solutions:
9” – WRF Model
3” – Canadian, Icon, UK Met, and European Model
1” – American Model
Saturday looks to be partly cloudy with highs in the mid to upper thirties. Sunday looks to be mostly sunny with highs reaching almost 50 degrees.
Then, a wildly confusing and complicated series of systems look to produce snow in the time frame of Wednesday April 22 to Friday April 25. Here are the model solutions (and the European one is not a typo):
22” – European Model
5” – Icon Model
3” – American Model
2” – Canadian Model
Retrospective Discussion:
Without Eldora’s snowcam, this should be taken with a large grain of salt, but it looks like 3-4” probably fell at the Lake Eldora Snotel from the Tuesday/Wednesday system. If correct, at the beginning of this week, the American, European, Icon, Peaks, and UK Met Models were all on the money, and the Canadian and WRF Models were a bit high. As for last week’s solution’s of this storm, the European Model was too high, the American Model was too low, and the Canadian Model was on the money.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Wednesday 4/15/26 afternoon)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
