This unbearable and unprecedented heat wave is coming, at least temporarily, to an end. Finally! Temperatures look to cool a bit on Wednesday April 1, with a large but disorganized system coming in from the west. Here are the model forecast solutions for that system:
5” – UK Met Model
4” – Canadian Model
2” – European and Icon Models
1” – American Model
Then, temperatures look to finally go solidly below freezing day and night starting on April 3 with a second system that may be a short blast per some models, or may result in snow from Friday April 3 to Monday April 6 per other models. That second system may go too far to our north, which explains why the model solutions differ so radically below. Here are the model solutions for that storm:
13” – Canadian Model
8” – Icon Model
5” – UK Met Model
3” – European Model
1” – American Model
The Canadian Model has the highs this upcoming weekend below freezing and snowy, while the American Model has the highs in the low 40s and partly cloudy skies. The European Model splits the difference. Here’s to hoping the Canadians are right.
-Jordan (Sunday 3/29/26 Morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
