This will be a weekend of contrasts. Saturday looks to be warm, sunny (in the morning), and windy. Sunday looks to be cool, snowy, and less windy (but still windy). The snow on Sunday looks to be powered by a jet streak – so it will be rather unpredictable. Here are the model forecasts:
6” – Canadian Model
5” – Peaks Model
3” – American and WRF Models
2” – European Model
Snow lingers through Tuesday, but only another inch at best. After that, it looks like a warm week ahead.
Retrospective Discussion:
While this has been the worst winter overall since I moved to Colorado in 1996, March at least has started fairly strong. Fingers’ crossed it keeps up. The midweek storm dropped 7” at Eldora. That’s pretty good, considering the Canadian Model predicted an inch, and the American, European, and WRF Models just called for a dusting.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Thursday 3/12/26 Afternoon)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
