Although most of the snow will be to our west, we should get some spillover snow on Tuesday and Wednesday, possibly assisted with a jet streak. Here are the model forecasts:
8” – WRF Model
4” – Canadian and European Models
3” – American Model
A touch of snow, around an inch, is forecasted for Friday night. Saturday the highs will be in the upper teens with decreasing clouds and Sunday will be sunny with highs above thirty. Gazing into forecast fairyland, the European Model sees a storm on the horizon on Wednesday February 26, but that prediction is just too far out to be what is classically defined as “reliable,” i.e., more likely to happen than the historical average of the day. I raise it only to give us all hope.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora picked up 1 ½” towards the end of last week. So, initially the American Model did the best with the European Model being too optimistic and the Canadian Model predicting the snow too early. Right beforehand, the American and Canadian Model were more-or-less accurate with the European Model being still too optimistic.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 2/16/26 evening)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF IFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the Icon and UKMet Models are to the point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
