With our patrol season over, after this, I’m only going to forecast moving forwards when interesting things happen. Warmer temperatures return this week. Friday we may get some new snow (5” per the American Model but only 1” per the Canadian Model). Then, in what is basically forecast fairyland, the Canadian and American Models are both calling for 3” of snow next Tuesday.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora picked up 13” of snow in the most recent system. So, the day before the system started, the Icon Model was spot-on, the WRF Model was way too high, The American, European, and NAM Models were a bit low, the RDPS Model was way too low, and the Canadian and UK Met Models were just embarrassing, calling for a mere 4”. Five days before the system started, The American, European, and UK Met Models all did a decent job predicting the storm, with the Icon Model a bit low, and the Canadian Model way too low. Ironically, five days out the mean solution was actually closer to what we got than one day out.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Sunday 4/20/25 morning)
