Sorry all that this forecast is a little early, but dealing with time constraints. By the time you read this, we’ll know how the Thursday system played out.
A large low pressure system looks to give us two rounds of upslope, the first one on Thursday and the second one on Friday into Saturday. There’s a good chance there’ll be more snow east of the Peak-to-Peak Highway than in our patrol zone to the west of the Peak-to-Peak Highway. Regardless, here are the model solutions in our patrol zone for the Thursday system:
6” – WRF Model
3” – Canadian Model
2” – American, Icon, European, UK Met, NAM, and RDPS Models
Here are the model solutions for the Friday/Saturday system:
7” – American Model
6” – WRF and UK Met Models
3” – RDPS Model
2” – Canadian, Icon, and NAM Models
1” – European Model
Saturday should be snowing, mostly cloudy, with a high in the mid-20s. Sunday should be partly cloudy with a high around freezing, and winds increasing as the day progresses.
Next week looks to return to warmth and sun.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora picked up about 5” in the Tuesday-ish storm, so both the WRF and European Models were pretty close, with the American Model being too low, and the Canadian Model being way too low.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Wednesday 4/2/25 evening)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
