Snow continues. The next round of snow is Monday to Tuesday evening. Here are the model forecasts:
6” – WRF Model
4” – European Model
2” – American Model
1” – Canadian Model
Temperatures cool significantly on Wednesday through the rest of the week. The next round of snow appears to be on Thursday, which looks to be an upslope. Please keep in mind, these upslopes are rather unpredictable. Here are the model forecasts, but don’t discount the possibility that we get much less or much much more:
4” – European Model
3” – Canadian and American Models
There looks to be a brief lull on Friday, and then the next snowfall on Friday afternoon to Saturday night. This, likewise, is another upslope, and may hit the plains more than the mountains, but same caveats on unpredictability. Here are the model forecasts:
5” – European Model
4” – Canadian Model
3” – American Model
Clouds appear to exit our region by Sunday, with warming temperatures.
Retrospective Discussion:
What a weekend of snow! Eldora picked up 9” over Friday night, and 7” over Saturday night. For the first round, the American Model was a bit low, but in the ballpark. The RDPS and Canadian Models were lower. And the NAM and WRF Model predictions were just embarrassing, predicting 1” and a dusting, respectively. On the second round, the American Model hit it dead on, the Canadian and RDPS Models were low, and the WRF and NAM Models were really low.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 3/31/25 Morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
