After a week of warmth and sun, weather is about to change. There will likely be a series of storms hitting our patrol zone from now until forecast fairyland. None of these storms look too big, but the overall accumulations look to be a foot and a half or more over the next nine days. Here are the details.
The first round looks to be tonight to tomorrow morning. Here are model forecasts:
7” – American Model
6” – RDPS Model
5” – Canadian Model
1” – NAM Model
Dusting – WRF Model
Saturday’s highs should top out around 40.
The second round of snow looks to be Saturday night through the end of the day on Sunday. Here are the model forecasts:
5” – American Model
3” – Canadian and RDPS Models
2” – WRF Model
1” – NAM Model
Sundays highs should top out around 30.
After a lull on Monday with warmer temperatures, the next system, which is colder looks to be on Tuesday and Wednesday. Here are the model forecasts:
4” – Canadian Model
2” – American Model
Then, it looks like there’ll be another system, possibly an upslope, from Thursday to Saturday. Here are the model forecasts:
7” – American Model
6” – Canadian Model
So, the totals predicted between now and next Sunday are:
26” – European Model
22” – American Model
18” – Canadian Model
Welcome back winter.
-Jordan (Friday 3/28/25 afternoon)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
