This week will be way too warm and pleasant until Friday. Temperatures drop on Friday, and snow begins.
Per the Canadian Model, on Friday and Saturday there will be 4” of snow, followed by a brief sunny lull on Sunday to Monday morning, with more snow after that. Per the American Model, there will be slight snow from Friday through the whole weekend, with 4” by the end of the day on Sunday. After that, the Candian Model is calling for 2” while the American Model is calling for 9” of snow between next Monday and Wednesday.
Retrospective Discussion:
Last week, Eldora got 3” as of Tuesday, 3” as of Wednesday, 1” as of Thursday, and 1” as of Friday. So, the initial forecast of this week, the American and Canadian models were both a bit high for the first part of the week, with the Canadian Model way too high for the second part of the week, but the American Model pretty close. The European and Ikon Models were pretty accurate for the first half of the week, but then were too optimistic for the second half of the week. Once into the week, the WRF model was pretty accurate, while sadly the American and Canadian Models were way too optimistic.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 3/10/25 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
