As of Monday mid-morning, the Eldora Snowcam is at about 6” of fresh snow, and we’re in the middle of what looks to be a good snow cycle. We continue to be on the southern side of this storm, and most of the precipitation is from spillover, so most models aren’t calling for a giant storm. That said, we’re definitely in a storm cycle with potential of a foot or more total.
All of this said, most of the snow will have probably fallen by the time you read this in the Tuesday evening call. Here are their various forecasts from Monday morning through Friday morning:
17” – Icon and UK Met Models
12” – WRF Model
8” – Canadian Model
7” – European Model
5” – American Model
This weekend looks to be mostly sunny, with highs around freezing. Hopefully it won’t be too windy, but there’s still model disagreement on that front. Regardless, it should be great conditions to enjoy the fresh snow.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora Snowcam showed 6” over the weekend which far exceeded the Canadian Model’s 2” estimate, and put the American Model’s ½” estimate to shame. Although I hadn’t included it in my forecast, the various Europe based models (i.e., European, Icon, and UK Met) that I checked similarly were not predicting any major snow for the weekend.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 2/17/25 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
