There should be some small lingering snow to start the week (along with very cold), with temperatures not becoming seasonable again until Friday. Friday’s seasonable temperatures, however, will be short lived. Temperatures look to dive again this upcoming weekend, with another round of snow.
Don’t put much stock into the snow forecast for this weekend yet, as it’s a really odd system, coming almost from the due north and then creating a closed low initially to our west before moving eastward. That said, here are the model forecasts for this upcoming weekend’s snow:
11” – Canadian Model
9” – European Model
6” – UK Met Model
4” – American and Icon Models
Fingers’ crossed the Canadian Model gets it right again.
Retrospective Discussion:
The Eldora Snowcam showed 12” from this past system, so the Canadian, RDPS, and WRF Models did a great job predicting this cold storm. The UK Met, American, and Icon Models were too low, and the European and NAM Models were way too low.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 1/20 Morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
