This weekend, a large trough passes mostly to our north (with a low pressure moving over North Dakota and Minnesota) – but some moisture will get as far south as our backcountry patrol zone and looks to stick around through early next week. Temperatures will be cold and winds, especially at on Saturday, will likely be strong.
5” – UK Met and Icon Models
3” – European Model
2” – Canadian Model
1” – American Model (and WRF Model through mid-day Sunday)
The next snow looks to come in around Saturday January 18, with the Canadian Model calling for 2” and the American Model calling for 1”.
Retrospective Discussion:
The Eldora Snowcam showed 3” by midday Thursday. This beat the European, WRF, and Icon predictions. And it really beat the American, Canadian, and UK Met Model solutions.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Thursday afternoon 1/9/25)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
