There looks to be a bit of snow on Friday night, with the Canadian and WRF Models calling for 1½” and the American Model calling for a ½”. Then, snow again later on Saturday into Sunday morning, with the Canadian Model calling for ½” and the American Model calling for 1”, and the WRF Model calling for 4”.
This weekend should have the typical strong westerly winds over the weekend, with highs on Saturday just below freezing and highs on Sunday just above freezing.
Then, Sunday night into Monday looks like a touch more snow, 2” per the Canadian, 1” per the American Model, and an optimistic 6” per the WRF Model. After that, the next real snowfall looks to be around the following weekend.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora did not get the Christmas snow, so the Canadian Model was too high but the American Model’s small prediction was fine. Eldora then picked up 3” as of this (Friday) morning, so the Canadian Model was closer with the American Model being too low.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Friday 12/27 Afternoon)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
