A system coming from the west heads just north of our patrol zone on Tuesday. Here are the various model snow forecasts for our patrol zone by Wednesday morning:
3” – RDPS Model
2” – American, Canadian, and WRF Models
1” – NAM Model
Then, there’s nothing exciting (snow-wise) out to Christmas. The Canadian Model is calling for some small snowfalls potentially starting around Sunday through Christmas, while the American Model isn’t calling for any snow until Christmas, but 3” on Christmas.
This weekend, the highs look to be just about freezing, with a mix of sun and clouds. As of now, Sunday looks to be the windier of the two weekend days.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora Snowcam showed 2” fresh on Friday, so the WRF Model was right on, the Canadian Model was too low, and the American Model was way too low calling only for a dusting.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 12/16/24 evening)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
