Light snow looks to continue this cold (Tuesday) morning. The sun and comparatively warmer temperatures look likely to return on Wednesday and Thursday. Then, it looks like we may get a quick shot of snow on Friday, but nothing exciting. Both the American and Canadian models are predicting less than an inch.
Saturday looks to be partly cloudy with highs around the freezing level. On Sunday, a system passes to our north. Sunday similarly looks to be partly cloudy with highs around the freezing level, and potentially some snow. The Canadian Model is calling for 2” between Sunday night and Monday midday, while the American Model is calling for a dusting on Sunday during the day. Here’s for hoping for more snow.
Retrospective Discussion:
So far, the Eldora snowcam has picked up only a measly inch of snow. Even adding the light snow expected today, this storm sadly but not too unexpectedly underperformed, with the Canadian and UK Met Models getting it right, the Icon and European Models being too optimistic, and the American Model being way to optimistic.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Tuesday 12/10 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
