A storm from the west northwest passes us just barely to our north Friday night. The Canadian and American Models are both predicting 3” by Saturday morning, while the WRF Model is only predicting an inch.
It should be partly cloudy this weekend, with highs approaching 40 degrees even at 10,000 feet. Saturday looks like the windier of the two days.
Snow looks to start again Sunday night, but whether we’ll have another low pressure system to our south generating upslope snow is still a real open question. The Canadian Model basically says no and predicts 3” by Monday morning. The American Model basically says yes and predicts that it will snow Sunday night through Monday night for a total of 9” by Tuesday morning. Here’s to hoping the American Model will get it right.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Thursday 3/28/24 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
If you want more details on these forecasts, feel free to buy my Hunting Powder book at Hunting Powder: A Skier’s Guide to Finding Colorado’s Best Snow: Lipp, Jordan, Gratz, Joel: 9780578838533: Amazon.com: Books. How is that for an absolutely shameless plug? Or, the next time you see me at a patrol function, just ask me any questions on how I put together these non-professional forecasts. Cheers.
