[Note: This forecast was written early Sunday morning but posted late Sunday night due to my apparent inability to post from overseas.]
Sorry for the delayed forecasts, but just coming back now from the Carpathian Mountains. We look to have an upslope Sunday afternoon to Monday morning (the low is centered around the Colorado / New Mexico border). Temperatures also look to turn cold. However, this will be nothing like our most recent huge storm. Here are the model forecasts:
18” – WRF Model
10” – American Model
5” – Canadian Model
Then snow picks back up Monday night into Tuesday. Here are the model forecasts:
3” – Canadian Model
2” – American Model
1” – WRF Model
Midweek looks to be pleasant and warm. A potentially larger upslope looks to hit us starting on Saturday or Sunday. The American Model is predicting 9” while the Canadian Model is predicting a whopping 17”. We’ll just have to keep an eye on this when it gets closer.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Sunday 3/24/24 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
If you want more details on these forecasts, feel free to buy my Hunting Powder book at Hunting Powder: A Skier’s Guide to Finding Colorado’s Best Snow: Lipp, Jordan, Gratz, Joel: 9780578838533: Amazon.com: Books. How is that for an absolutely shameless plug? Or, the next time you see me at a patrol function, just ask me any questions on how I put together these non-professional forecasts. Cheers.
