A messy combination of two storms (one from the west southwest and one from the west northwest) converge to our west and will result in some snow in our patrol zone from Monday evening to Wednesday morning. Here are the various model snow forecasts from when I’m writing this (Monday evening) through Wednesday morning:
7” – WRF Model
5” – UK Met Model
4” – Canadian and European Models
2” – American Model
Temperatures will fall with the storm, but will warm up for Wednesday through Saturday, with lots of sun during that period. Clouds look to roll in at some point Saturday followed by snow starting later in the day Saturday through Monday. Temperatures likewise will fall on Sunday and Monday. Here are the model forecasts:
5” – Canadian and European Models
2” – American Model
Cheers.
-Jordan (Monday 2/26/24 evening)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
If you want more details on these forecasts, feel free to buy my Hunting Powder book at Hunting Powder: A Skier’s Guide to Finding Colorado’s Best Snow: Lipp, Jordan, Gratz, Joel: 9780578838533: Amazon.com: Books. How is that for an absolutely shameless plug? Or, the next time you see me at a patrol function, just ask me any questions on how I put together these non-professional forecasts. Cheers.
