Apologies for the short forecast.  It looks like we’ll have small upslope snow on Saturday.  Here are the model forecasts:

4” – American Model

3” – WRF Model

1” – Canadian Model

Saturday winds will be from the east.  Sunday winds will be stronger and from the northwest.  Sunday will be warmer than Saturday.  Cheers.

Retrospective Discussion:

Eldora picked up 4”, so the European Model was closest, with the UK Model too low, and the Canadian and American Models way too low.

-Jordan (Friday 2/9/24 morning)

Geeky Notes:

References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’.  References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area.  For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface. 

If you want more details on these forecasts, feel free to buy my Hunting Powder book at Hunting Powder: A Skier’s Guide to Finding Colorado’s Best Snow: Lipp, Jordan, Gratz, Joel: 9780578838533: Amazon.com: Books.  How is that for an absolutely shameless plug?  Or, the next time you see me at a patrol function, just ask me any questions on how I put together these non-professional forecasts.  Cheers.