A weak upslope looks to bring light snow on Friday to our patrol zone. Here are the model forecasts:
7” – Canadian Model
6” – RDPS Model
3” – WRF Model
2” – NAM Model
<1” – American Model
This weekend winds will be westerly, as normal, and Sunday looks to be the warmer of the two days. Both days will be partly cloudy.
The next shot of snow looks to come in around Saturday February 3 or so, with the Canadian Model calling for 9” and the American Model calling for 4”.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora picked up 2” earlier this week, roughly what was predicted.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Thursday 1/25/24 morning)
Geeky Notes:
References to the American Model are to the American (GFS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 9,439’. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model grid including Brainerd Lake with an average elevation of 10,253’. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model point forecast for Eldora Ski Area with an elevation of 9,189’. References to the European Model are to the European (ECMWF) Model on a point with my cursor at my best estimate of Eldora Ski Area. For big picture overviews, I tend to rely on the American Model, not because I think it is the most accurate, but because (i) it is free and (ii) I like its interface.
If you want more details on these forecasts, feel free to buy my Hunting Powder book at Hunting Powder: A Skier’s Guide to Finding Colorado’s Best Snow: Lipp, Jordan, Gratz, Joel: 9780578838533: Amazon.com: Books. How is that for an absolutely shameless plug? Or, the next time you see me at a patrol function, just ask me any questions on how I put together these non-professional forecasts. Cheers.
