A system to our south looks to drive somewhere between a dusting (per the American, UK Met, and European Models) to several inches of snow (per Canadian and WRF Models) tonight. 

Then, a cold system currently just off the coast of British Columbia comes roaring into our patrol zone Tuesday evening bringing cold temperatures and a bit of an upslope.  As it may form a brief closed low, be skeptical of any predictions.  That said, here are the model forecasts:

8” – WRF Model

4” – American and European Models

3” – UK Met Model

2” – Canadian Model 

After that, we’ll be under a ridge of high pressure through Sunday, with warmer weather. 

The next two systems looks to come in on Sunday, Monday, or Tuesday – one from the northwest and one from the southwest, with significant jet support.  That said, as that’s a long ways away, take the following predictions with a huge grain of salt.  Here are the various model predictions for that system:

8” – European Model

7” – Canadian Model

6” – American Model

Retrospective Discussion:

Tonight’s system, if it pans out for any snow, means that all four global models I checked on Friday were off, as all four predicted it would go to our south and not produce any snow in our patrol zone.  It would be great to see them all wrong if it means more snow!


-Jordan (Monday (12/13/22) Afternoon)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.