We’re under a ridge of high pressure this weekend, with warm pleasant weather.  Saturday looks to be the warmer of the two days, with highs perhaps in the low 40s.

The next weather of interest is a storm coming from the northwest on Tuesday evening.  The details are still fuzzy, but it looks like a somewhat typical trough, except it appears to generate a decent low pressure system that will drive upslope winds (and thus snow) for our patrol zone.  Take the snowfall details of any forecast of an upslope, especially an upslope mid-winter, with a large grain of salt.  That said, I am confident that the system will be cold.  Here are the model snow forecasts for our patrol zone:

12” – American Model

8” – Canadian Model

6” – European Model

3” – UK Met Model

Temperatures look to slowly warm after that system with no further snowfall later next week.

Retrospective Discussion:

The Wednesday system dropped 3” at Eldora, with the Canadian Model exactly on point, but all models doing a good job of predicting the snow.


-Jordan (Friday (2/10/23) morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.