Currently we have sunny weather with a small low pressure system far to our south around central New Mexico.  A weak system, currently over Seattle, comes through our patrol region on Wednesday night from the northwest.  Snowfall amounts don’t look too great.  Here are the various model forecasts for this system:

3” – Canadian Model

2.5” – WRF Model

2” – American and European Models

After Thursday, our patrol zone looks to be under a ridge of high pressure (i.e., warm and pleasant weather) through the weekend, with highs likely above freezing from Saturday to Monday.  If you believe the Canadian Model, it will be sunny with only light wind both days, while the American Model is calling for more clouds but at least very little wind on Saturday.

Out at the edge of forecast fairyland, the Canadian and European Models are predicting 6” midweek next week, while the American Model predicts only 2”.

Retrospective Discussion:

Eldora reported 2” of snow on Monday morning, right in line with the Canadian and European Models, and higher than the American Model.


-Jordan (Tuesday (2/7/23) afternoon)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.