While a powerful closed low passes far to our south (i.e., through southern New Mexico) over the next few days, moisture gets pulled into our patrol zone from the northwest resulting in small amounts of snow being predicted periodically from today through Saturday. Temperatures look to stay cold, with highs unlikely to break 20 degrees on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Here are the forecasts for total snow from Monday to Saturday:
4” – Canadian Model
3” – American and European Models
2” – UK Met Model
Then a more powerful system comes in from the northwest late this weekend (probably, but not for certain as we’re looking at over five days out). The Sunday to next Wednesday snow forecasts for our patrol zone are as follows:
10” – Canadian Model
8” – European Model
3” – American Model
Let’s hope this system performs well.
Retrospective Discussion:
Eldora’s snow stake cam showed 3-4” out of this most recent system, so five days out the American Model called this spot on, and did the best job three days out as well, with the European Model a little low and the Canadian Model a little high. Regardless, conditions are good in our patrol zone right now with lots of snow.
-Jordan (Monday (1/23/23) afternoon)
Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas. References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.
