It looks to be cold, windy, and snowy this week.  While unfortunately the storm track doesn’t look favorable for big time snowfall for our patrol zone (it ended up being way too far north, with the center of the low pressure unfortunately hovering to our northeast), we should get some snow from tonight through Friday.  Here are the various model forecasts from tonight (Monday) through Friday for our patrol zone:

9” – WRF and European Models

7” – Canadian and UK Met Models

4” – RDPS and NAM Models

3” – American Model

If one believes the WRF Model (which can tend to overestimate winds in our patrol zone, if overestimating winds in our patrol zone is possible), the temperatures will be below 10° F and the wind gusts will be greater than 70 MPH for an entire 24 hour period – from noon on Tuesday to noon on Wednesday.  Yikes!

Happily, temperatures look likely to start warming by this weekend.  Then, another shot of snow looks possible next week.


-Jordan (Monday (12/12) evening)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.