With our patrol season at its end, just a short forecast.  A large system to our north will bring snow to our patrol zone Tuesday through Thursday with colder temperatures.  This system will be associated with westerly winds (not the best direction for our patrol zone) but with hopefully enough moisture to give us the shot at something more than dust on crust.  Here are the model forecasts:

10” – WRF Model

8” – European Model

6” – Canadian Model

5” – UK Met Model

3” – American Model

Fingers crossed we get some real snow.

Retrospective Discussion:

Eldora snowstake cam showed 3-4 inches of fresh snow Saturday night.  This was a welcomed surprise, considering that none of four to five models I looked in writing my Thursday morning forecast predicted more than an inch, at most, of new snow.  Always nice when we get unexpected snow. 

Cheers.

-Jordan (Monday (4/11) afternoon)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.