It’ll be sunny and warm for a while (with the highs potentially reaching 50 degrees this weekend), as we sit under a ridge of high pressure.
Next week, the models agree we should be getting a foot or so of snow in total, but they disagree when between the two systems.
As for the first system, a closed low looks to barrel in from the southwest, hitting our patrol zone on Tuesday / Wednesday. Here are the model snow forecasts for our patrol zone for that system:
10” – American Model
7” – Canadian Model
3” – UK Met Model
2” – European Model
After a lull on Thursday, there may be another system around April Fool’s Day coming from the northwest. Here are the model snow forecasts:
11” – European Model
5” – Canadian Model
1” – American Model
Hopefully the high ends of each storm will pan out. We’ll see.
Retrospective Discussion:
The Monday storm ended up producing roughly 4” of snow. So the American Model’s week-out prediction of 62” wasn’t exactly in the ballpark. Or in the same league. A few days beforehand, the American Model’s 18” was still way too high, the Canadian Model’s 11” was still pretty high, but the European Model nailed it spot on, with the UK Met pretty close.
Cheers.
-Jordan (Thursday (3/24) evening)
Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas. References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.
