While the last system unfortunately underproduced, there’s happily lots of snow in the forecast. A system approaches from the west northwest, with a low pressure likely to cause at least some upslope on Wednesday. Unsurprisingly, this storm should produce the most snow on Wednesday. Here are the model forecasts for Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning for our patrol zone:
10” – WRF Model
9” – Canadian Model
5” – American Model
Then, on Sunday / Monday, a storm looks to graze us from the north, with both the American and Canadian Models calling for 1”.
At the edge of forecast fairyland, a large system from the west looks to produce snow on Wednesday (3/16) and Thursday (3/17), with the American Model calling for 10” and the Canadian Model calling for 9”.
It looks like we have a great ten days ahead of us.
Retrospective Discussion:
Sadly, the predicted large storm didn’t pan out for our patrol zone, with Eldora reporting a total of 4”. So, the American, WRF, UK Met, and European Models 9” prediction was way too high, and the Canadian Model’s 11” prediction was even worse. Bummer! (This large storm did pan out in other places, like Taos where way more snow fell than predicted by the models and I caught unbelievable powder day after day.)
Cheers.
-Jordan (Tuesday (3/8) Morning)
Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas. References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.
