A system today comes down from the north, bringing cold temperatures and a quick shot of snow.  There may be more snow in the foothills than in our patrol zone.  Here are the various model snow forecasts for our patrol zone:

3” – Canadian and European Models

2” – American and WRF Model

1” – UK Met and HRRR Models

Saturday remains a bit cold, but temperatures warm on Sunday with plenty of sun.  It’ll be windy this weekend, but when is it never not windy in our patrol zone? 

Temperatures warm up even more during the first part of next week, but then happily it looks like there will likely be snow and cold again around Wednesday-ish.  This looks to be a complex and multi-faceted system with an upslope component.  Let’s keep our eyes on this one.  Here are as of now the various medium term global model snow forecasts for our patrol zone:

5” – American and European Models

4” – Canadian Model

Retrospective Discussion:

Although Wednesday’s system was small, it happily overproduced compared to the models, with the Eldora Snow Cam showing between 2-3” of new snow.  So, the American and WRF Models did okay, but the Canadian Model woefully underestimated the snow predicting only ½ an inch, and the European Model was even worse, not predicting any snow. 


-Jordan (Friday (2/11) morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.