This weekend looks to be warm, sunny, and at least a bit windy.  (Of course it’ll be windy, it’s always windy in our patrol zone.)  Highs, however, will not be getting nearly as warm as the last few weeks, so snow may be crunchy later in the day than it has been. 

On the horizon, things get exciting.  The western United States looks like it will get a one-two punch of snow (with the second punch being stronger) from late Sunday through Friday night.  Details remain murky, but here are the model total snow forecasts for that time period:

American Model: 19”

Canadian Model: 13”

European Model: 10”

On the plus side, temperatures look colder for this time of year (which is good for snow production) and winds look favorable for our patrol zone.  On the negative side, the models have lots of disagreement, and this doesn’t look to be playing out like the classic closed low to our south that are the biggest snow producers for us.  Hopefully details will become more clear as it gets closer, and lets hope the foot plus forecasts from the American and Canadian Models pan out.

Retrospective discussion:

Eldora reported 1” on Tuesday, right in line with most model forecasts.  And there was a dusting of snow last night into this morning, again in line with most model forecasts (with sadly the Canadian Model’s 1.5” prediction being too optimistic).


-Jordan (Friday morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.