Lots going on weather-wise, but it doesn’t look like we’ll see any huge dumps between now and forecast fairyland.

A weak and disorganized system moves overhead today, tomorrow, and tomorrow night, but at least wind directions do look favorable for snow in our patrol zone.  Here are the various model snow forecasts for our patrol zone Tuesday and Wednesday:

WRF Model: 13”

UK Met Model: 8”

American and RDPS Models: 5”

NAM Model: 4”

Canadian and European Models: 3”

There looks to be a short round of snow again on Thursday – a dusting per the Canadian and WRF Models, but 2” per the American Model. 

Then a system from the northwest enters our patrol zone on Friday and Saturday.  Here are the model forecasts for Friday and Saturday:

American and European Models: 4”

Canadian Model: 2”

On Sunday, we look to be under a ridge of high pressure, but strong westerly winds are quite likely in our patrol zone.  A quick system looks to hit us on Monday (3/29) when the Canadian Model is calling for 2” but the American Model is just calling for a dusting.  It looks to get warm and sunny after that (per American and Canadian Models), but don’t despair, that’s already out in forecast fairyland, and the European Model is thinking snow next week.  We’ll see.

Retrospective Discussion:

Eldora reported a storm total of 10” from this last system, so the Canadian Model was basically spot-on, while the European Model underpredicted and the American Model overpredicted.

-Jordan (Tuesday morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.