Our patrol zone (and all of Colorado) will be under a ridge of high pressure through the weekend into early next week, which is good for tans and bad for skiing powder.

A system from the northwest, but potentially pulling in moisture from the southwest as well, looks to bring snow to our patrol zone starting Tuesday or Wednesday and ending Thursday, Friday, or Saturday.  For once, the American Model is being really optimistic, while the other medium term models are not.  The American Model is calling for 15” out of this system, the European Model is calling for 4”, and the Canadian Model is calling for 3”.  Fingers’ crossed this one turns out to be as big as the American Model is predicting.

Retrospective Discussion:

Eldora picked up 1-2” of snow out of the last system, so unfortunately the promising prediction from the UK Met Model was incredibly over-optimistic.  The other models did a better job.

Cheers.

-Jordan (Friday morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.