Forecast Discussion:

A system currently over northern California to British Columbia heads our way for light snow in our patrol zone on Friday/Saturday.  Snow looks to be in the 1-4” range.  Here are the model predictions:

RDPS Model: 4”

Canadian, WRF, and NAM Models: 3”

UKMet Model: 2”

American and European Models: 1”

Then, a system then passes to our north on Sunday (12/20) that may provide a dusting of snow.

Then another system comes in from the northwest next Wednesday (12/23).  The models are predicting less snow from this system than the Friday/Saturday system, but as a glass half-full type, I’d point out that forecasts are not terribly reliable 6 days away, and the system might have a more serious upslope component than the Friday/Saturday system.  Here are the model forecasts for next Wednesday:

Canadian and European Models: 2”

American Model: ½”

Retrospective Discussion:

As predicted, Eldora snow stake eked out 1” more of snow on Wednesday.


-Jordan (Thursday morning)

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas.  References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model.  References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model.  References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model.  References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.