Sorry I didn’t post on Thanksgiving or the day after. There wasn’t much to talk about.
A week system coming in from the northwest passes over our patrol zone on Tuesday (12/1). It forms into a somewhat impressive low pressure system once beyond our mountains (called a Colorado low), which often actually results in large snowfalls in the fall and the spring-time for our patrol zone. Alas, the models are predicting that the Colorado low gets blown out of our area too fast to produce much snow (something more common in the winter than in the fall or spring). The way the storm is shaping up, perhaps more snow will fall in the front range than in our patrol zone. Snowfall totals for Tuesday/Wednesday are forecasted by the various models as follows:
American and WRF Models: 3”
Canadian Model: 2.5”
RDPS and UKMet Models: 2”
Weather then looks boring from Thursday until we’re out in Forecast Fairyland (perhaps something Wednesday December 9 or Thursday December 10). Let’s hope the models are wrong and we start getting more snow again soon.
-Jordan (Monday evening)
Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas. References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.