A quick update on the Saturday night through Tuesday snow totals, as the models are all over the map. You should have low confidence in any forecast based upon these insane differences (2” to 20”). Some models are picking up jet streak lift, and others are not, which is why the discrepancies are so extreme. In other words, this may be a big storm, or it may be nothing. If you eliminate the jet streak possibility, the storm doesn’t look big based upon general rules of how we get snow, but the jet streak has added in this crazy uncertainty. Sorry for the unpredictability folks. Here are the various Saturday night through Tuesday snow total numbers on the grid cells for Eldora/Brainerd:
2” – American Model
8” – NAM Model
8” – Canadian Model
10” – European Model
20” – WRF Model
-Jordan (Saturday Evening)
Note: Unless otherwise noted, all forecasts are for 10,000’ in exposed areas. References to American Model are the American (GFS) Model. References to the Canadian Model are the Canadian (GDPS) Model. References to the WRF Model are the CAIC WRF Hi-Res Model. References to the European Model are the European (ECMWF) Model.
